3月13日，埃隆马斯克在X社交媒体上再发表“疯狂”预测，他写道：“明年AI或许会比其他人类个体都聪明，到2029年，AI可能比所有人类加起来还要聪明。”下面请看有关双语报道。
A prominent futurist predicted on Joe Rogan's podcast that artificial intelligence will achieve human-level intelligence by 2029, but billionaire and tech mogul Elon Musk claims it will happen by next year.
一位著名将来学家在乔·罗根的播客中预测，到2029年AI将达到人类水平的智慧， 但埃隆马斯克觉得，这将在明年达成。
Famed inventor and futurist Ray Kurzweil made what he called a "conservative" estimate about when 人工智能 will reach human-level intelligence during an appearance on the popular podcast.
著名的创造家和将来学家雷·库兹韦尔在参加这个热点播客节目时， 就AI何时能达到人类水平的智慧做出了他所谓的“守旧”估计。
"We're not quite there, but we will be there, and by 2029 it will match any person," he said. "People think that will happen next year or the year after."
“大家还没达到那个水平，但大家会达到的，到2029年，AI将可以超越人类。”他说道。 “大家觉得这会在明年或后年发生。”
Musk responded on X, claiming the timeline would be much shorter.
埃隆马斯克在X上回话称，无需那样久。
"人工智能 will probably be smarter than any single human next year," Musk posted on X. "By 2029, 人工智能 is probably smarter than all humans combined."
“明年AI或许会比任何一个人都聪明，”埃隆马斯克在X上写道。 “到2029年，AI可能比所有人类加起来都聪明。”
Musk has been outspoken about his concerns regarding 人工智能 and the dangers associated with it, often calling for more regulation of the powerful technology.
埃隆马斯克直言不讳地表达了他对AI可能导致危险的担心， 并常常呼吁要对强大的技术进行更多的监管。
He has expressed fear that 人工智能 could lead to "civilizational destruction" if mismanaged.
他曾表示，假如管理不善，AI可能致使“文明毁灭”。
"Even if you say that 人工智能 doesn't have agency, well, it's very likely that people will use the 人工智能 as a tool in elections," he said in a previous interview with Fox News. "And then, you know, if 人工智能's smart enough, are they using the tool or is the tool using them? So I think things are getting weird, and they're getting weird fast."
“即便你说AI没代理权，但大概大家会将AI用作选举中的工具，” 他在此前同意福克斯新闻采访时说。 “那样，假如AI足够聪明，是他们在用这个工具，还是这个工具在用他们? 所以我感觉事情变得愈加奇怪了，而且变得非常快。”
"What's happening is they're training the 人工智能 to lie. It's bad," he added. "人工智能 is more dangerous than, say, mismanaged aircraft design or production maintenance or bad car production. In the sense that it has the potential, however small one may regard that probability, but it is non-trivial, it has the potential of civilization destruction."
“但他们正在练习AI说谎。 这非常危险，“他补充道。 “AI比管理不当的飞机设计或生产维护或劣质汽车生产更危险。 在某种意义上，它更具备潜力，无论大家觉得这种可能性多么小，但它是可能达成的， 人工智能具备破坏文明的潜力。
重点词语
futurist 将来学家 ; 将来主义者 ; 将来派作家 ; 将来派艺术家 ; 预测将来者 ; 将来主义的
Rogan 罗根
artificial intelligence AI
mogul 大亨 ; 雪丘，雪墩，“猫跳” ; 有势力的人 ; 莫卧儿人Elon Musk 埃隆·埃隆马斯克 ; 伊隆·埃隆马斯克
happen by 由…发生 ; 偶然路过，碰巧路过
next year 明年
Famed 著名的
Kurzweil 库兹韦尔 ; 库兹威尔 ; 科兹威尔
an appearance 出现 ; 露面
